YEARLY HIGH
135.4839 MRO
YEARLY LOW
119.3980 MRO
YEARLY AVERAGE
127.0270 MRO

2019 GEL to MRO Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the GEL to MRO exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 15, valuing the pair at 135.4839. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 21, dropping to 119.3980.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 16.0859 MRO. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 134.0610 to the December average rate of 123.4827, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.89% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 135.4839 was down 7.81% compared to the 2018 peak of 146.9599, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 677,419 MRO
2018 Average 715,313 MRO
Yearly Trough Low 596,990 MRO
Transaction Impact: A difference of 80,429.39 MRO purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

136.0210
118.8864
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to MRO Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 132.1548, compared to 121.8992 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 10.2556 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 132.1548
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 121.8992

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was July, with a trading range of 7.5261 MRO (High: 127.7281 / Low: 120.2020). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.9831 MRO (High: 132.9609 / Low: 131.9778).

July Spread (Volatile) ±7.5261
April Spread (Stable) ±0.9831

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2019. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 4.2944 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -4.2944

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2019: 134.5931) against the same month in 2018 (average: 144.4969), the exchange rate shifted by -9.9037 (-6.85%).

2019 Avg (February) 134.5931
2018 Avg (February) 144.4969

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 134.4633 133.2090 134.0610
February 135.4839 132.7138 134.5931
March 134.2105 132.4675 133.1223
April 132.9609 131.9778 132.4764
May 131.9778 127.2727 129.7878
June 131.2500 124.8252 128.8882
July 127.7281 120.2020 124.5938
August 122.8916 121.0169 121.9144
September 121.4286 119.7987 120.6021
October 121.2224 119.5980 120.4879
November 120.9096 119.3980 120.3143
December 125.0438 120.2020 123.4827