2016 GEL to MRO Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

167.6856 MRO

YEARLY LOW

127.8093 MRO

YEARLY AVERAGE

148.9317 MRO

2016 GEL to MRO Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the GEL to MRO exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 11, valuing the pair at 167.6856. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 6, dropping to 127.8093.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 39.8763 MRO. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 137.3362 to the December average rate of 135.0708, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.65% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 167.6856 was up 0.33% compared to the 2015 peak of 167.1396, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 838,428 MRO

2015 Average 708,057 MRO

Yearly Trough Low 639,047 MRO

Transaction Impact: A difference of 199,381.27 MRO purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

165.1651

132.3350

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to MRO Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 149.4760, compared to 148.3873 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.0887 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 149.4760

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 148.3873

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 16.6946 MRO (High: 167.6856 / Low: 150.9909). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 3.1151 MRO (High: 153.6447 / Low: 150.5296).

June Spread (Volatile) ±16.6946

July Spread (Stable) ±3.1151

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 10.7485 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -10.7485

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2016: 162.4293) against the same month in 2015 (average: 141.8534), the exchange rate shifted by +20.5759 (+14.51%).

2016 Avg (June) 162.4293

2015 Avg (June) 141.8534

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	142.2262	127.8093	137.3362
February	139.7577	132.0197	137.7010
March	150.4120	138.8023	144.8438
April	155.9788	148.8021	153.2163
May	166.4062	153.9961	161.3293
June	167.6856	150.9909	162.4293
July	153.6447	150.5296	151.6808
August	156.4753	150.4264	153.3740
September	155.4684	152.3086	154.0825
October	152.7177	149.3827	151.4158
November	148.9109	140.5092	144.7000
December	139.7733	127.8406	135.0708