YEARLY HIGH
0.5098 HNL
YEARLY LOW
0.4619 HNL
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.4973 HNL

2018 GMD to HNL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the GMD to HNL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 15, valuing the pair at 0.5098. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 5, dropping to 0.4619.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0479 HNL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.4923 to the December average rate of 0.4905, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.36% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.5098 was down 6.80% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.5470, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GMD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,549 HNL
2017 Average 2,563 HNL
Yearly Trough Low 2,309 HNL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 239.74 HNL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.5099
0.4845
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GMD to HNL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.5006, compared to 0.4941 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0065 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.5006
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.4941

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was December, with a trading range of 0.0335 HNL (High: 0.4953 / Low: 0.4619). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0033 HNL (High: 0.5006 / Low: 0.4973).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.0335
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0033

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0089 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0089

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2018: 0.5078) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.5095), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0017 (-0.33%).

2018 Avg (June) 0.5078
2017 Avg (June) 0.5095

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.4994 0.4845 0.4923
February 0.5021 0.4930 0.4986
March 0.5006 0.4970 0.4994
April 0.5024 0.4991 0.5012
May 0.5070 0.5016 0.5040
June 0.5098 0.5041 0.5078
July 0.5090 0.4983 0.5027
August 0.5006 0.4973 0.4991
September 0.5011 0.4884 0.4955
October 0.4893 0.4836 0.4867
November 0.4927 0.4838 0.4899
December 0.4953 0.4619 0.4905