YEARLY HIGH
3.6906 KES
YEARLY LOW
2.8624 KES
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.1473 KES

2011 GMD to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the GMD to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 12, valuing the pair at 3.6906. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 16, dropping to 2.8624.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.8282 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.9208 to the December average rate of 2.9845, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.18% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 3.6906 was up 21.19% compared to the 2010 peak of 3.0453, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GMD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 18,453 KES
2010 Average 14,355 KES
Yearly Trough Low 14,312 KES
Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,141.23 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

3.5357
2.8477
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GMD to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.0371, compared to 3.2575 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.2204 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.0371
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.2575

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was June, with a trading range of 0.3766 KES (High: 3.4322 / Low: 3.0555). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1177 KES (High: 2.9818 / Low: 2.8641).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.3766
February Spread (Stable) ±0.1177

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.2878 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2878

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2011: 3.4784) against the same month in 2010 (average: 2.9999), the exchange rate shifted by +0.4785 (+15.95%).

2011 Avg (October) 3.4784
2010 Avg (October) 2.9999

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 2.9885 2.8624 2.9208
February 2.9818 2.8641 2.9050
March 3.1731 2.9357 3.0497
April 3.1423 2.9788 3.0429
May 3.1875 2.9734 3.0781
June 3.4322 3.0555 3.2261
July 3.4116 3.1395 3.2461
August 3.4711 3.2037 3.3390
September 3.4425 3.1898 3.3066
October 3.6906 3.3263 3.4784
November 3.3495 3.0234 3.1906
December 3.1161 2.8678 2.9845