YEARLY HIGH
468.1829 UGX
YEARLY LOW
426.4789 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
440.2645 UGX

2016 HKD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the HKD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 2, valuing the pair at 468.1829. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 24, dropping to 426.4789.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 41.7040 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 442.8370 to the December average rate of 464.1080, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.80% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 468.1829 was down 1.75% compared to the 2015 peak of 476.5341, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 25,000 HKD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 11,704,573 UGX
2015 Average 10,443,699 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 10,661,973 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,042,600.15 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

467.4477
427.3710
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HKD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 435.2498, compared to 445.2791 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 10.0292 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 435.2498
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 445.2791

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 21.1749 UGX (High: 467.8199 / Low: 446.6451). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.8086 UGX (High: 435.8723 / Low: 434.0637).

November Spread (Volatile) ±21.1749
August Spread (Stable) ±1.8086

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 7.2647 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -7.2647

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 464.1080) against the same month in 2015 (average: 433.5754), the exchange rate shifted by +30.5326 (+7.04%).

2016 Avg (December) 464.1080
2015 Avg (December) 433.5754

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 447.1814 435.9131 442.8370
February 446.3190 431.4945 440.4090
March 435.4573 430.0263 433.1443
April 434.7283 426.4789 430.8788
May 435.8857 427.4589 430.7108
June 439.8153 430.9753 433.5193
July 438.1046 433.9337 435.6511
August 435.8723 434.0637 434.7869
September 436.6665 434.4508 435.8932
October 446.3982 435.6433 442.2127
November 467.8199 446.6451 459.0227
December 468.1829 457.7765 464.1080