YEARLY HIGH
498.2747 UGX
YEARLY LOW
463.7955 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
475.4398 UGX

2018 HKD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the HKD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 21, valuing the pair at 498.2747. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 3, dropping to 463.7955.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 34.4791 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 465.4803 to the December average rate of 474.8299, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.01% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 498.2747 was up 5.70% compared to the 2017 peak of 471.4108, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 25,000 HKD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 12,456,867 UGX
2017 Average 11,601,662 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 11,594,888 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 861,978.17 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

491.4790
462.9306
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HKD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 471.9967, compared to 478.8828 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 6.8861 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 471.9967
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 478.8828

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 27.6607 UGX (High: 497.0259 / Low: 469.3652). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 4.2355 UGX (High: 468.1111 / Low: 463.8756).

July Spread (Volatile) ±27.6607
January Spread (Stable) ±4.2355

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 10.4659 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -10.4659

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2018: 489.0999) against the same month in 2017 (average: 460.3422), the exchange rate shifted by +28.7578 (+6.25%).

2018 Avg (June) 489.0999
2017 Avg (June) 460.3422

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 468.1111 463.8756 465.4803
February 468.2687 463.7955 465.3096
March 470.2146 464.5410 466.1990
April 473.4592 468.5233 471.0029
May 481.1125 472.4804 474.8885
June 498.2747 480.8484 489.0999
July 497.0259 469.3652 478.6341
August 480.3527 469.4678 475.2204
September 489.4558 479.5374 485.1551
October 488.5404 477.7213 482.0827
November 479.9428 473.4425 477.3747
December 478.0878 471.3999 474.8299