YEARLY HIGH
479.7404 UGX
YEARLY LOW
438.4674 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
462.0610 UGX

2025 HKD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2025

During 2025, the HKD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 2, valuing the pair at 479.7404. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 11, dropping to 438.4674.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 41.2730 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 473.7539 to the December average rate of 459.3238, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.05% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2025 high of 479.7404 was down 4.98% compared to the 2024 peak of 504.8963, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 25,000 HKD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 11,993,510 UGX
2024 Average 12,034,258 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 10,961,685 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,031,824.61 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2025.

476.5589
442.8988
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HKD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 469.8148, compared to 454.3072 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 15.5076 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 469.8148
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 454.3072

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2025 was November, with a trading range of 23.9467 UGX (High: 470.7565 / Low: 446.8098). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 2.2377 UGX (High: 458.1044 / Low: 455.8667).

November Spread (Volatile) ±23.9467
July Spread (Stable) ±2.2377

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between October and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 8.9747 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -8.9747

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2025: 472.8462) against the same month in 2024 (average: 495.0543), the exchange rate shifted by -22.2082 (-4.49%).

2025 Avg (February) 472.8462
2024 Avg (February) 495.0543

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 476.9155 471.6365 473.7539
February 479.7404 471.3326 472.8462
March 473.5233 465.6846 471.5292
April 478.5771 468.4046 472.3649
May 473.3682 463.3626 468.6847
June 464.4256 456.7413 459.7100
July 458.1044 455.8667 456.7869
August 457.5542 449.6642 454.9079
September 454.5984 447.7041 450.6039
October 451.1412 438.4674 445.7038
November 470.7565 446.8098 458.5168
December 465.5165 454.2433 459.3238