YEARLY HIGH
482.6877 UGX
YEARLY LOW
443.4003 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
471.1340 UGX

2026 HKD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the HKD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 19, valuing the pair at 482.6877. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 20, dropping to 443.4003.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 39.2874 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 457.7442 to the December average rate of 477.3871, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.29% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 482.6877 was up 0.61% compared to the 2025 peak of 479.7404, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 25,000 HKD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 12,067,192 UGX
2025 Average 11,549,792 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 11,085,008 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 982,184.84 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

483.1550
453.6333
JanuMarcMayJuly

HKD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 469.9183, compared to 474.7810 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 4.8627 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 469.9183
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 474.7810

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was March, with a trading range of 22.6146 UGX (High: 482.6877 / Low: 460.0731). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0000 UGX (High: 477.3871 / Low: 477.3871).

March Spread (Volatile) ±22.6146
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0000

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2026. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 6.6225 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -6.6225

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2026: 476.3791) against the same month in 2025 (average: 471.5292), the exchange rate shifted by +4.8499 (+1.03%).

2026 Avg (March) 476.3791
2025 Avg (March) 471.5292

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 465.4582 443.4003 457.7442
February 461.4051 451.5561 456.0934
March 482.6877 460.0731 476.3791
April 479.4496 469.8031 474.5260
May 482.1061 477.0000 480.6949
June 481.1744 464.3172 474.0724
July 480.8382 465.4304 472.1749
August 477.3871 477.3871 477.3871