YEARLY HIGH
0.7509 LSL
YEARLY LOW
0.5834 LSL
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.6464 LSL

2016 HNL to LSL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the HNL to LSL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 18, valuing the pair at 0.7509. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 8, dropping to 0.5834.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1675 LSL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.7258 to the December average rate of 0.5946, the exchange rate registered a net change of -18.07% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.7509 was up 3.34% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.7266, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HNL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,755 LSL
2015 Average 2,942 LSL
Yearly Trough Low 2,917 LSL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 837.32 LSL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.7389
0.5815
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HNL to LSL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.6824, compared to 0.6103 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0721 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.6824
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.6103

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was May, with a trading range of 0.0683 LSL (High: 0.6974 / Low: 0.6291). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0233 LSL (High: 0.6068 / Low: 0.5836).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.0683
December Spread (Stable) ±0.0233

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2016. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0326 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0326

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 0.7258) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.5492), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1766 (+32.15%).

2016 Avg (January) 0.7258
2015 Avg (January) 0.5492

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.7509 0.6922 0.7258
February 0.7173 0.6743 0.6999
March 0.6992 0.6565 0.6796
April 0.6748 0.6306 0.6474
May 0.6974 0.6291 0.6776
June 0.6914 0.6335 0.6644
July 0.6493 0.6111 0.6318
August 0.6354 0.5842 0.6024
September 0.6359 0.5935 0.6164
October 0.6237 0.5959 0.6099
November 0.6262 0.5834 0.6069
December 0.6068 0.5836 0.5946