YEARLY HIGH
0.6480 LSL
YEARLY LOW
0.4889 LSL
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.5528 LSL

2018 HNL to LSL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the HNL to LSL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 16, valuing the pair at 0.6480. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 23, dropping to 0.4889.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1591 LSL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.5158 to the December average rate of 0.5879, the exchange rate registered a net change of 13.97% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.6480 was up 5.76% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.6127, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HNL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,240 LSL
2017 Average 2,836 LSL
Yearly Trough Low 2,445 LSL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 795.50 LSL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.6243
0.4903
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HNL to LSL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.5184, compared to 0.5871 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0687 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.5184
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.5871

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was September, with a trading range of 0.0618 LSL (High: 0.6480 / Low: 0.5862). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0155 LSL (High: 0.5083 / Low: 0.4928).

September Spread (Volatile) ±0.0618
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0155

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 7 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0229 points.

Longest Streak 7 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0229

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2018: 0.6131) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.5612), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0519 (+9.25%).

2018 Avg (September) 0.6131
2017 Avg (September) 0.5612

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.5286 0.5014 0.5158
February 0.5168 0.4889 0.5015
March 0.5083 0.4928 0.5018
April 0.5268 0.5001 0.5110
May 0.5355 0.5171 0.5275
June 0.5755 0.5252 0.5530
July 0.5768 0.5458 0.5592
August 0.6087 0.5500 0.5785
September 0.6480 0.5862 0.6131
October 0.6195 0.5874 0.6034
November 0.5978 0.5615 0.5805
December 0.6065 0.5641 0.5879