2018 HNL to MOP Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.3521 MOP

YEARLY LOW

0.3292 MOP

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.3376 MOP

2018 HNL to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the HNL to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 5, valuing the pair at 0.3521. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 10, dropping to 0.3292.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0229 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.3408 to the December average rate of 0.3322, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.52% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.3521 was up 0.57% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.3501, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HNL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,760 MOP

2017 Average 1,710 MOP

Yearly Trough Low 1,646 MOP

Transaction Impact: A difference of 114.39 MOP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.3427

0.3311

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HNL to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.3405, compared to 0.3348 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0057 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.3405

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.3348

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was December, with a trading range of 0.0229 MOP (High: 0.3521 / Low: 0.3292). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0011 MOP (High: 0.3373 / Low: 0.3362).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.0229

August Spread (Stable) ±0.0011

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0031 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0031

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2018: 0.3322) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.3405), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0083 (-2.44%).

2018 Avg (December) 0.3322

2017 Avg (December) 0.3405

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.3425	0.3399	0.3408
February	0.3425	0.3407	0.3414
March	0.3423	0.3411	0.3417
April	0.3422	0.3399	0.3415
May	0.3424	0.3380	0.3401
June	0.3397	0.3361	0.3373
July	0.3388	0.3360	0.3370
August	0.3373	0.3362	0.3366
September	0.3369	0.3336	0.3357
October	0.3358	0.3344	0.3352
November	0.3343	0.3303	0.3320
December	0.3521	0.3292	0.3322