2025 HNL to MOP Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.3158 MOP

YEARLY LOW

0.3029 MOP

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.3086 MOP

2025 HNL to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2025

During 2025, the HNL to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 2, valuing the pair at 0.3158. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 30, dropping to 0.3029.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0128 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.3148 to the December average rate of 0.3046, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.26% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2025 high of 0.3158 was down 3.62% compared to the 2024 peak of 0.3276, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HNL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,579 MOP

2024 Average 1,616 MOP

Yearly Trough Low 1,515 MOP

Transaction Impact: A difference of 64.21 MOP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2025.

0.3159

0.3035

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HNL to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.3115, compared to 0.3058 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0056 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.3115

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.3058

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2025 was April, with a trading range of 0.0051 MOP (High: 0.3133 / Low: 0.3082). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0017 MOP (High: 0.3055 / Low: 0.3037).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.0051

November Spread (Stable) ±0.0017

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2025. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0021 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0021

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2025: 0.3130) against the same month in 2024 (average: 0.3259), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0129 (-3.97%).

2025 Avg (February) 0.3130

2024 Avg (February) 0.3259

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.3155	0.3133	0.3148
February	0.3158	0.3107	0.3130
March	0.3132	0.3108	0.3121
April	0.3133	0.3082	0.3100
May	0.3101	0.3076	0.3091
June	0.3107	0.3086	0.3097
July	0.3102	0.3067	0.3078
August	0.3088	0.3040	0.3068
September	0.3073	0.3049	0.3060
October	0.3066	0.3037	0.3053
November	0.3055	0.3037	0.3045
December	0.3061	0.3029	0.3046