YEARLY HIGH
0.5422 MOP
YEARLY LOW
0.3217 MOP
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.3289 MOP

2019 HNL to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the HNL to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 9, valuing the pair at 0.5422. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 11, dropping to 0.3217.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2205 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.3306 to the December average rate of 0.3321, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.47% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 0.5422 was up 54.02% compared to the 2018 peak of 0.3521, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HNL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,711 MOP
2018 Average 1,688 MOP
Yearly Trough Low 1,609 MOP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,102.49 MOP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

0.3327
0.3259
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HNL to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.3297, compared to 0.3282 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0015 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.3297
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.3282

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was December, with a trading range of 0.2182 MOP (High: 0.5422 / Low: 0.3240). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0017 MOP (High: 0.3307 / Low: 0.3289).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.2182
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0017

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0054 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0054

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2019: 0.3321) against the same month in 2018 (average: 0.3322), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0001 (-0.02%).

2019 Avg (December) 0.3321
2018 Avg (December) 0.3322

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.3329 0.3297 0.3306
February 0.3311 0.3285 0.3300
March 0.3307 0.3289 0.3297
April 0.3306 0.3288 0.3295
May 0.3430 0.3279 0.3318
June 0.3295 0.3217 0.3264
July 0.3293 0.3243 0.3268
August 0.3300 0.3263 0.3285
September 0.3323 0.3260 0.3279
October 0.3289 0.3262 0.3271
November 0.3279 0.3256 0.3266
December 0.5422 0.3240 0.3321