2018 HRK to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

17.1523 KES

YEARLY LOW

15.3819 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

16.1305 KES

2018 HRK to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the HRK to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 1, valuing the pair at 17.1523. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 14, dropping to 15.3819.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.7704 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 16.8821 to the December average rate of 15.7010, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.00% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 17.1523 was up 2.63% compared to the 2017 peak of 16.7123, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HRK based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 85,762 KES

2017 Average 78,301 KES

Yearly Trough Low 76,910 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 8,852.10 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

17.0060

15.5187

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HRK to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 16.5340, compared to 15.7270 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.8070 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 16.5340

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 15.7270

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was February, with a trading range of 0.6130 KES (High: 17.1523 / Low: 16.5393). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2152 KES (High: 16.0249 / Low: 15.8097).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.6130

July Spread (Stable) ±0.2152

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between October and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.5461 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.5461

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2018: 16.8378) against the same month in 2017 (average: 14.8162), the exchange rate shifted by +2.0216 (+13.64%).

2018 Avg (February) 16.8378

2017 Avg (February) 14.8162

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	17.1418	16.5301	16.8821
February	17.1523	16.5393	16.8378
March	16.9326	16.6683	16.7761
April	16.8262	16.3504	16.6413
May	16.4047	15.8251	16.0953
June	16.1811	15.8369	15.9715
July	16.0249	15.8097	15.9088
August	15.8596	15.3819	15.6427
September	15.9851	15.6625	15.8116
October	15.7726	15.4992	15.6447
November	15.8535	15.4874	15.6534
December	15.7973	15.5741	15.7010