2011 HUF to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

15.0092 UGX

YEARLY LOW

10.1497 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

12.6154 UGX

2011 HUF to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the HUF to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 27, valuing the pair at 15.0092. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 19, dropping to 10.1497.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 4.8595 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 11.3175 to the December average rate of 10.6011, the exchange rate registered a net change of -6.33% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 15.0092 was up 25.52% compared to the 2010 peak of 11.9575, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 1,000,000 HUF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 15,009,232 UGX

2010 Average 10,494,506 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 10,149,689 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,859,542.87 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

14.8934

10.2108

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HUF to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 12.4215, compared to 12.8092 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.3877 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 12.4215

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 12.8092

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was October, with a trading range of 1.7777 UGX (High: 13.6409 / Low: 11.8632). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.4093 UGX (High: 12.0503 / Low: 11.6410).

October Spread (Volatile) ±1.7777

February Spread (Stable) ±0.4093

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 1.6333 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -1.6333

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2011: 14.5032) against the same month in 2010 (average: 10.2278), the exchange rate shifted by +4.2754 (+41.80%).

2011 Avg (August) 14.5032

2010 Avg (August) 10.2278

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	11.7411	10.7884	11.3175
February	12.0503	11.6410	11.8191
March	12.8486	12.0025	12.3998
April	13.3661	12.6472	12.9353
May	13.3868	12.3763	12.8358
June	14.4746	12.7789	13.2215
July	14.1083	13.2605	13.8306
August	15.0092	13.8691	14.5032
September	14.7231	13.0291	13.6456
October	13.6409	11.8632	12.9541
November	11.9210	10.9135	11.3208
December	11.3388	10.1497	10.6011