YEARLY HIGH
14.7399 UGX
YEARLY LOW
12.9001 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
13.8124 UGX

2018 HUF to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the HUF to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 16, valuing the pair at 14.7399. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 15, dropping to 12.9001.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.8398 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 14.3669 to the December average rate of 13.0957, the exchange rate registered a net change of -8.85% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 14.7399 was up 3.51% compared to the 2017 peak of 14.2407, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 1,000,000 HUF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 14,739,879 UGX
2017 Average 13,219,888 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 12,900,099 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,839,779.84 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

14.6990
12.9499
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HUF to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 14.2606, compared to 13.3643 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.8963 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 14.2606
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 13.3643

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was May, with a trading range of 0.6768 UGX (High: 14.2239 / Low: 13.5471). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.3287 UGX (High: 14.5848 / Low: 14.2561).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.6768
March Spread (Stable) ±0.3287

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.6456 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.6456

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2018: 14.5533) against the same month in 2017 (average: 12.4815), the exchange rate shifted by +2.0717 (+16.60%).

2018 Avg (April) 14.5533
2017 Avg (April) 12.4815

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 14.6098 14.0560 14.3669
February 14.6865 14.1579 14.4163
March 14.5848 14.2561 14.4362
April 14.7399 14.3181 14.5533
May 14.2239 13.5471 13.9077
June 14.1491 13.7359 13.8832
July 13.9332 13.2631 13.5352
August 13.5910 13.0716 13.3309
September 13.9238 13.3252 13.6398
October 13.7032 13.1262 13.4001
November 13.3670 13.0014 13.1840
December 13.2581 12.9001 13.0957