2016 HUF to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

12.7076 UGX

YEARLY LOW

11.6308 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

12.1450 UGX

2016 HUF to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the HUF to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 7, valuing the pair at 12.7076. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 6, dropping to 11.6308.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.0768 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 11.9104 to the December average rate of 12.1616, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.11% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 12.7076 was down 6.35% compared to the 2015 peak of 13.5691, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 1,000,000 HUF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 12,707,572 UGX

2015 Average 11,590,627 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 11,630,817 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,076,755.02 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

12.4949

11.8435

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HUF to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 12.0741, compared to 12.2160 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1418 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 12.0741

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 12.2160

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 0.7663 UGX (High: 12.5566 / Low: 11.7903). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2772 UGX (High: 12.3097 / Low: 12.0326).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.7663

August Spread (Stable) ±0.2772

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.2791 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2791

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2016: 12.4406) against the same month in 2015 (average: 11.7714), the exchange rate shifted by +0.6692 (+5.69%).

2016 Avg (November) 12.4406

2015 Avg (November) 11.7714

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	12.1206	11.6308	11.9104
February	12.5566	11.7903	12.2740
March	12.2458	11.7008	12.0326
April	12.2715	11.9642	12.1597
May	12.2686	11.8935	12.0117
June	12.2757	11.7909	12.0563
July	12.1047	11.7800	11.8978
August	12.3097	12.0326	12.1850
September	12.4263	12.1344	12.2816
October	12.5325	12.1415	12.3292
November	12.7076	12.2938	12.4406
December	12.4359	11.9116	12.1616