YEARLY HIGH
11.6962 UGX
YEARLY LOW
10.5904 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
11.1707 UGX

2014 HUF to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the HUF to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 13, valuing the pair at 11.6962. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 28, dropping to 10.5904.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.1058 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 11.2975 to the December average rate of 10.9397, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.17% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 11.6962 was down 6.02% compared to the 2013 peak of 12.4449, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 1,000,000 HUF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 11,696,222 UGX
2013 Average 11,572,403 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 10,590,388 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,105,833.84 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

11.5745
10.7025
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HUF to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 11.2716, compared to 11.0697 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2018 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 11.2716
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 11.0697

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was January, with a trading range of 0.9645 UGX (High: 11.6901 / Low: 10.7256). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1538 UGX (High: 11.4928 / Low: 11.3390).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.9645
May Spread (Stable) ±0.1538

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.4259 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.4259

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2014: 11.5018) against the same month in 2013 (average: 11.4859), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0159 (+0.14%).

2014 Avg (July) 11.5018
2013 Avg (July) 11.4859

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 11.6901 10.7256 11.2975
February 11.2273 10.6643 10.8770
March 11.4027 11.0924 11.2394
April 11.5155 11.2016 11.3562
May 11.4928 11.3390 11.4086
June 11.6127 11.3051 11.4508
July 11.6962 11.2081 11.5018
August 11.2187 10.8985 11.0759
September 10.9088 10.6398 10.7751
October 11.1640 10.7089 11.0212
November 11.2966 10.7820 11.1048
December 11.2877 10.5904 10.9397