2011 KES to MOP Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.0993 MOP

YEARLY LOW

0.0755 MOP

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.0908 MOP

2011 KES to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the KES to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 1, valuing the pair at 0.0993. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 11, dropping to 0.0755.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0238 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0990 to the December average rate of 0.0928, the exchange rate registered a net change of -6.26% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 0.0993 was down 6.51% compared to the 2010 peak of 0.1062, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 497 MOP

2010 Average 506 MOP

Yearly Trough Low 378 MOP

Transaction Impact: A difference of 118.93 MOP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

0.1009

0.0775

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0953, compared to 0.0863 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0091 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0953

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0863

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was November, with a trading range of 0.0084 MOP (High: 0.0899 / Low: 0.0816). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0007 MOP (High: 0.0993 / Low: 0.0986).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0084

January Spread (Stable) ±0.0007

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between October and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0040 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0040

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2011: 0.0990) against the same month in 2010 (average: 0.1056), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0067 (-6.32%).

2011 Avg (January) 0.0990

2010 Avg (January) 0.1056

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.0993	0.0986	0.0990
February	0.0990	0.0973	0.0984
March	0.0969	0.0932	0.0952
April	0.0962	0.0950	0.0955
May	0.0961	0.0923	0.0939
June	0.0933	0.0877	0.0902
July	0.0905	0.0881	0.0893
August	0.0881	0.0847	0.0865
September	0.0857	0.0781	0.0835
October	0.0809	0.0755	0.0795
November	0.0899	0.0816	0.0862
December	0.0960	0.0890	0.0928