YEARLY HIGH
0.0751 MOP
YEARLY LOW
0.0710 MOP
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0730 MOP

2021 KES to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the KES to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 10, valuing the pair at 0.0751. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 29, dropping to 0.0710.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0041 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0727 to the December average rate of 0.0711, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.16% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 0.0751 was down 5.77% compared to the 2020 peak of 0.0797, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 376 MOP
2020 Average 375 MOP
Yearly Trough Low 355 MOP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 20.71 MOP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

0.0748
0.0708
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0735, compared to 0.0725 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0010 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0735
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0725

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was April, with a trading range of 0.0016 MOP (High: 0.0749 / Low: 0.0733). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0002 MOP (High: 0.0742 / Low: 0.0740).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.0016
June Spread (Stable) ±0.0002

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.0006 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0006

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2021: 0.0744) against the same month in 2020 (average: 0.0748), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0004 (-0.51%).

2021 Avg (May) 0.0744
2020 Avg (May) 0.0748

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.0731 0.0724 0.0727
February 0.0730 0.0725 0.0728
March 0.0731 0.0728 0.0729
April 0.0749 0.0733 0.0741
May 0.0751 0.0739 0.0744
June 0.0742 0.0740 0.0742
July 0.0741 0.0737 0.0740
August 0.0738 0.0729 0.0734
September 0.0729 0.0725 0.0728
October 0.0726 0.0720 0.0723
November 0.0720 0.0714 0.0717
December 0.0713 0.0710 0.0711