YEARLY HIGH
0.0797 MOP
YEARLY LOW
0.0716 MOP
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0751 MOP

2020 KES to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the KES to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 31, valuing the pair at 0.0797. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 16, dropping to 0.0716.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0082 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0792 to the December average rate of 0.0723, the exchange rate registered a net change of -8.75% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 0.0797 was down 1.77% compared to the 2019 peak of 0.0812, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 399 MOP
2019 Average 396 MOP
Yearly Trough Low 358 MOP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 40.81 MOP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

0.0801
0.0716
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0767, compared to 0.0734 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0033 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0767
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0734

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was March, with a trading range of 0.0047 MOP (High: 0.0793 / Low: 0.0746). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0002 MOP (High: 0.0737 / Low: 0.0735).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.0047
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0002

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2020. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0024 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0024

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2020: 0.0792) against the same month in 2019 (average: 0.0795), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0003 (-0.39%).

2020 Avg (January) 0.0792
2019 Avg (January) 0.0795

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.0797 0.0787 0.0792
February 0.0797 0.0791 0.0794
March 0.0793 0.0746 0.0770
April 0.0759 0.0744 0.0750
May 0.0756 0.0739 0.0748
June 0.0752 0.0747 0.0750
July 0.0750 0.0739 0.0744
August 0.0741 0.0734 0.0738
September 0.0737 0.0735 0.0736
October 0.0736 0.0733 0.0735
November 0.0734 0.0725 0.0730
December 0.0735 0.0716 0.0723