YEARLY HIGH
3.5731 MRO
YEARLY LOW
3.1336 MRO
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.4097 MRO

2013 KES to MRO Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the KES to MRO exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 20, valuing the pair at 3.5731. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 30, dropping to 3.1336.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4395 MRO. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.4665 to the December average rate of 3.3784, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.54% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 3.5731 was down 1.17% compared to the 2012 peak of 3.6155, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 17,866 MRO
2012 Average 17,463 MRO
Yearly Trough Low 15,668 MRO
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,197.54 MRO purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

3.5415
3.2233
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to MRO Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.3886, compared to 3.4309 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0424 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.3886
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.4309

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was May, with a trading range of 0.4174 MRO (High: 3.5731 / Low: 3.1558). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0539 MRO (High: 3.4589 / Low: 3.4049).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.4174
February Spread (Stable) ±0.0539

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.1188 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1188

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2013: 3.3281) against the same month in 2012 (average: 3.4543), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1262 (-3.65%).

2013 Avg (May) 3.3281
2012 Avg (May) 3.4543

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.5219 3.4226 3.4665
February 3.4589 3.4049 3.4265
March 3.4531 3.2476 3.3686
April 3.2909 3.1336 3.2498
May 3.5731 3.1558 3.3281
June 3.5320 3.4369 3.4917
July 3.4916 3.3536 3.4271
August 3.4583 3.3701 3.4346
September 3.4392 3.2822 3.3686
October 3.5549 3.3712 3.5150
November 3.5480 3.3534 3.4620
December 3.4049 3.3506 3.3784