YEARLY HIGH
3.5575 MRO
YEARLY LOW
3.1989 MRO
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.3558 MRO

2020 KES to MRO Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the KES to MRO exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 31, valuing the pair at 3.5575. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 14, dropping to 3.1989.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3586 MRO. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.5315 to the December average rate of 3.2311, the exchange rate registered a net change of -8.51% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 3.5575 was down 0.77% compared to the 2019 peak of 3.5851, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 17,788 MRO
2019 Average 17,503 MRO
Yearly Trough Low 15,995 MRO
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,793.12 MRO purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

3.5715
3.2001
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to MRO Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.4279, compared to 3.2838 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1441 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.4279
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.2838

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was March, with a trading range of 0.1740 MRO (High: 3.5293 / Low: 3.3553). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0109 MRO (High: 3.2970 / Low: 3.2861).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.1740
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0109

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2020. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.1001 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1001

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2020: 3.5315) against the same month in 2019 (average: 3.5147), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0168 (+0.48%).

2020 Avg (January) 3.5315
2019 Avg (January) 3.5147

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.5575 3.5089 3.5315
February 3.5575 3.5280 3.5405
March 3.5293 3.3553 3.4404
April 3.3935 3.3271 3.3537
May 3.3807 3.3271 3.3458
June 3.3648 3.3427 3.3554
July 3.3537 3.3052 3.3265
August 3.3132 3.2900 3.3017
September 3.2970 3.2861 3.2922
October 3.2921 3.2797 3.2858
November 3.2837 3.2425 3.2654
December 3.2828 3.1989 3.2311