YEARLY HIGH
3.3516 MRO
YEARLY LOW
0.0088 MRO
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.1799 MRO

2021 KES to MRO Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the KES to MRO exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 10, valuing the pair at 3.3516. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 29, dropping to 0.0088.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.3428 MRO. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.2478 to the December average rate of 2.2462, the exchange rate registered a net change of -30.84% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 3.3516 was down 5.79% compared to the 2020 peak of 3.5575, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 16,758 MRO
2020 Average 16,776 MRO
Yearly Trough Low 44 MRO
Transaction Impact: A difference of 16,713.98 MRO purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

3.4300
2.1386
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to MRO Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.2829, compared to 3.0769 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2060 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.2829
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.0769

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was December, with a trading range of 3.1636 MRO (High: 3.1724 / Low: 0.0088). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0074 MRO (High: 3.3145 / Low: 3.3071).

December Spread (Volatile) ±3.1636
June Spread (Stable) ±0.0074

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.9413 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.9413

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2021: 3.3224) against the same month in 2020 (average: 3.3458), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0234 (-0.70%).

2021 Avg (May) 3.3224
2020 Avg (May) 3.3458

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.2671 3.2337 3.2478
February 3.2633 3.2417 3.2554
March 3.2624 3.2498 3.2546
April 3.3425 3.2780 3.3063
May 3.3516 3.2952 3.3224
June 3.3145 3.3071 3.3112
July 3.3127 3.2870 3.3012
August 3.2876 3.2499 3.2662
September 3.2485 3.2305 3.2408
October 3.2308 3.2083 3.2198
November 3.2080 3.1717 3.1875
December 3.1724 0.0088 2.2462