YEARLY HIGH
3.5851 MRO
YEARLY LOW
3.4260 MRO
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.5011 MRO

2019 KES to MRO Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the KES to MRO exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 10, valuing the pair at 3.5851. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 30, dropping to 3.4260.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1591 MRO. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.5147 to the December average rate of 3.5196, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.14% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 3.5851 was up 0.59% compared to the 2018 peak of 3.5639, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 17,925 MRO
2018 Average 17,542 MRO
Yearly Trough Low 17,130 MRO
Transaction Impact: A difference of 795.51 MRO purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

3.5742
3.4287
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to MRO Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.5341, compared to 3.4680 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0660 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.5341
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.4680

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was November, with a trading range of 0.0738 MRO (High: 3.5294 / Low: 3.4556). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0197 MRO (High: 3.5383 / Low: 3.5186).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0738
May Spread (Stable) ±0.0197

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0521 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0521

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2019: 3.5570) against the same month in 2018 (average: 3.5159), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0411 (+1.17%).

2019 Avg (March) 3.5570
2018 Avg (March) 3.5159

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.5586 3.4929 3.5147
February 3.5682 3.5441 3.5621
March 3.5851 3.5343 3.5570
April 3.5473 3.5137 3.5313
May 3.5383 3.5186 3.5282
June 3.5298 3.4880 3.5111
July 3.4918 3.4260 3.4590
August 3.4664 3.4456 3.4567
September 3.4677 3.4343 3.4408
October 3.4600 3.4357 3.4434
November 3.5294 3.4556 3.4887
December 3.5487 3.4758 3.5196