2011 KES to NPR Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.0252 NPR

YEARLY LOW

0.7280 NPR

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.8370 NPR

2011 KES to NPR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the KES to NPR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 16, valuing the pair at 1.0252. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 11, dropping to 0.7280.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2972 NPR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.8791 to the December average rate of 0.9720, the exchange rate registered a net change of 10.57% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 1.0252 was up 7.32% compared to the 2010 peak of 0.9552, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,126 NPR

2010 Average 4,507 NPR

Yearly Trough Low 3,640 NPR

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,486.19 NPR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

0.9924

0.7471

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to NPR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.8482, compared to 0.8258 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0224 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.8482

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.8258

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was November, with a trading range of 0.1294 NPR (High: 0.9181 / Low: 0.7887). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0106 NPR (High: 0.8844 / Low: 0.8738).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.1294

January Spread (Stable) ±0.0106

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between October and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0359 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0359

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2011: 0.9720) against the same month in 2010 (average: 0.8789), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0931 (+10.60%).

2011 Avg (December) 0.9720

2010 Avg (December) 0.8789

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.8844	0.8738	0.8791
February	0.8823	0.8635	0.8735
March	0.8566	0.8251	0.8412
April	0.8533	0.8384	0.8454
May	0.8557	0.8315	0.8431
June	0.8352	0.7846	0.8072
July	0.8039	0.7711	0.7903
August	0.7970	0.7585	0.7809
September	0.8052	0.7526	0.7855
October	0.7833	0.7280	0.7676
November	0.9181	0.7887	0.8588
December	1.0252	0.9111	0.9720