YEARLY HIGH
1.1463 NPR
YEARLY LOW
1.0570 NPR
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.1041 NPR

2019 KES to NPR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the KES to NPR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 4, valuing the pair at 1.1463. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 31, dropping to 1.0570.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0893 NPR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.1124 to the December average rate of 1.1227, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.92% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 1.1463 was down 2.67% compared to the 2018 peak of 1.1777, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,732 NPR
2018 Average 5,401 NPR
Yearly Trough Low 5,285 NPR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 446.69 NPR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

1.1422
1.0584
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to NPR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.1086, compared to 1.0995 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0091 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.1086
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.0995

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was March, with a trading range of 0.0432 NPR (High: 1.1319 / Low: 1.0887). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0109 NPR (High: 1.1060 / Low: 1.0951).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.0432
April Spread (Stable) ±0.0109

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0277 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0277

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2019: 1.1352) against the same month in 2018 (average: 1.0157), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1195 (+11.76%).

2019 Avg (February) 1.1352
2018 Avg (February) 1.0157

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.1335 1.0913 1.1124
February 1.1463 1.1258 1.1352
March 1.1319 1.0887 1.1078
April 1.1060 1.0951 1.1000
May 1.1153 1.0969 1.1032
June 1.1029 1.0809 1.0930
July 1.0798 1.0570 1.0654
August 1.1122 1.0705 1.0982
September 1.1139 1.0867 1.0984
October 1.1036 1.0908 1.0958
November 1.1358 1.0955 1.1169
December 1.1327 1.1131 1.1227