YEARLY HIGH
1.0817 NPR
YEARLY LOW
0.9310 NPR
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.0104 NPR

2012 KES to NPR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the KES to NPR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 22, valuing the pair at 1.0817. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 23, dropping to 0.9310.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1506 NPR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.9535 to the December average rate of 1.0173, the exchange rate registered a net change of 6.69% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 1.0817 was up 5.51% compared to the 2011 peak of 1.0252, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,408 NPR
2011 Average 4,184 NPR
Yearly Trough Low 4,655 NPR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 753.09 NPR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

1.0665
0.9393
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to NPR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.9919, compared to 1.0289 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0370 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.9919
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.0289

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was January, with a trading range of 0.0736 NPR (High: 1.0046 / Low: 0.9310). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0123 NPR (High: 1.0624 / Low: 1.0501).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0736
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0123

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0338 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0338

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2012: 1.0548) against the same month in 2011 (average: 0.8072), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2476 (+30.67%).

2012 Avg (June) 1.0548
2011 Avg (June) 0.8072

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.0046 0.9310 0.9535
February 0.9715 0.9355 0.9499
March 0.9847 0.9455 0.9706
April 1.0123 0.9736 0.9939
May 1.0517 1.0103 1.0288
June 1.0817 1.0255 1.0548
July 1.0618 1.0342 1.0501
August 1.0624 1.0501 1.0559
September 1.0557 0.9894 1.0297
October 1.0135 0.9745 0.9958
November 1.0364 1.0078 1.0244
December 1.0256 1.0081 1.0173