YEARLY HIGH
1.1755 NPR
YEARLY LOW
1.0657 NPR
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.1120 NPR

2014 KES to NPR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the KES to NPR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 27, valuing the pair at 1.1755. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 25, dropping to 1.0657.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1098 NPR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.1519 to the December average rate of 1.1101, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.62% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 1.1755 was down 4.09% compared to the 2013 peak of 1.2256, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,877 NPR
2013 Average 5,438 NPR
Yearly Trough Low 5,329 NPR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 548.80 NPR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

1.1608
1.0833
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to NPR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.1218, compared to 1.1023 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0195 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.1218
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.1023

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was May, with a trading range of 0.0468 NPR (High: 1.1126 / Low: 1.0657). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0084 NPR (High: 1.0998 / Low: 1.0914).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.0468
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0084

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0248 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0248

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2014: 1.1519) against the same month in 2013 (average: 0.9987), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1532 (+15.34%).

2014 Avg (January) 1.1519
2013 Avg (January) 0.9987

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.1755 1.1411 1.1519
February 1.1636 1.1463 1.1544
March 1.1507 1.1045 1.1296
April 1.1229 1.1055 1.1140
May 1.1126 1.0657 1.0897
June 1.1026 1.0787 1.0912
July 1.0998 1.0914 1.0963
August 1.1175 1.0961 1.1065
September 1.1066 1.0895 1.0980
October 1.1094 1.0933 1.1031
November 1.1043 1.0953 1.0998
December 1.1266 1.0902 1.1101