2013 KES to STD Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

227.7518 STD

YEARLY LOW

204.7610 STD

YEARLY AVERAGE

214.5944 STD

2013 KES to STD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the KES to STD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 19, valuing the pair at 227.7518. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 19, dropping to 204.7610.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 22.9908 STD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 212.4862 to the December average rate of 207.6679, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.27% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 227.7518 was down 5.45% compared to the 2012 peak of 240.8724, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,138,759 STD

2012 Average 1,132,582 STD

Yearly Trough Low 1,023,805 STD

Transaction Impact: A difference of 114,954.05 STD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

225.8968

206.0108

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to STD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 218.1318, compared to 211.0571 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 7.0747 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 218.1318

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 211.0571

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was February, with a trading range of 11.2544 STD (High: 216.7062 / Low: 205.4517). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 3.8356 STD (High: 225.5124 / Low: 221.6768).

February Spread (Volatile) ±11.2544

April Spread (Stable) ±3.8356

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 6.3562 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -6.3562

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2013: 224.2396) against the same month in 2012 (average: 224.7886), the exchange rate shifted by -0.5490 (-0.24%).

2013 Avg (May) 224.2396

2012 Avg (May) 224.7886

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	216.8283	206.4008	212.4862
February	216.7062	205.4517	209.9194
March	224.2860	217.2387	220.4562
April	225.5124	221.6768	223.8057
May	227.7518	220.3549	224.2396
June	223.5650	212.4337	217.8835
July	220.3563	211.7141	216.1578
August	212.5658	204.7610	210.0822
September	213.1852	207.1429	210.2581
October	213.2149	208.4407	211.0021
November	213.2525	208.5380	211.1744
December	209.4375	205.2587	207.6679