2018 KES to STD Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

209.9518 STD

YEARLY LOW

193.1113 STD

YEARLY AVERAGE

203.9532 STD

2018 KES to STD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the KES to STD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 6, valuing the pair at 209.9518. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 28, dropping to 193.1113.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 16.8405 STD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 196.2972 to the December average rate of 205.9896, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.94% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 209.9518 was down 7.96% compared to the 2017 peak of 228.1041, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,049,759 STD

2017 Average 1,050,622 STD

Yearly Trough Low 965,557 STD

Transaction Impact: A difference of 84,202.26 STD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

210.4086

194.4260

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to STD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 200.1014, compared to 207.8049 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 7.7035 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 200.1014

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 207.8049

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was May, with a trading range of 6.1422 STD (High: 208.5617 / Low: 202.4195). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.0596 STD (High: 209.0992 / Low: 208.0395).

May Spread (Volatile) ±6.1422

September Spread (Stable) ±1.0596

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 2.9624 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -2.9624

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2018: 208.7231) against the same month in 2017 (average: 201.3678), the exchange rate shifted by +7.3553 (+3.65%).

2018 Avg (October) 208.7231

2017 Avg (October) 201.3678

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	198.2258	193.1113	196.2972
February	198.8424	193.2318	195.7579
March	197.5938	195.3125	196.6180
April	200.3734	196.5588	198.1790
May	208.5617	202.4195	205.8127
June	209.9281	205.7330	207.9439
July	209.7589	207.0377	208.5416
August	209.8136	208.5250	209.0767
September	209.0992	208.0395	208.7379
October	209.9518	206.5607	208.7231
November	207.7258	203.9888	205.7607
December	207.7225	205.1515	205.9896