YEARLY HIGH
174.2086 STD
YEARLY LOW
171.0168 STD
YEARLY AVERAGE
172.3667 STD

2026 KES to STD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the KES to STD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 25, valuing the pair at 174.2086. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 30, dropping to 171.0168.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.1919 STD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 172.7665 to the December average rate of 172.2738, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.29% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 174.2086 was down 0.54% compared to the 2025 peak of 175.1576, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 871,043 STD
2025 Average 861,805 STD
Yearly Trough Low 855,084 STD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 15,959.37 STD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

172.9390
172.0743
JanuMarcMayJuly

KES to STD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 172.3821, compared to 172.2738 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1083 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 172.3821
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 172.2738

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was March, with a trading range of 2.1251 STD (High: 173.1419 / Low: 171.0168). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.3375 STD (High: 172.3264 / Low: 171.9888).

March Spread (Volatile) ±2.1251
June Spread (Stable) ±0.3375

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2026. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.6882 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.6882

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2026: 172.7665) against the same month in 2025 (average: 172.2187), the exchange rate shifted by +0.5478 (+0.32%).

2026 Avg (January) 172.7665
2025 Avg (January) 172.2187

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 174.2086 172.5208 172.7665
February 173.3048 171.5185 172.8669
March 173.1419 171.0168 172.1787
April 172.5933 171.1510 172.1503
May 172.5265 172.0009 172.1840
June 172.3264 171.9888 172.1463
July 172.5672 171.9938 172.2738