YEARLY HIGH
230.0645 STD
YEARLY LOW
206.6179 STD
YEARLY AVERAGE
218.1383 STD

2016 KES to STD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the KES to STD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 20, valuing the pair at 230.0645. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 24, dropping to 206.6179.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 23.4466 STD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 220.2102 to the December average rate of 227.8194, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.46% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 230.0645 was down 9.32% compared to the 2015 peak of 253.7162, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,150,323 STD
2015 Average 1,126,263 STD
Yearly Trough Low 1,033,089 STD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 117,233.25 STD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

229.2952
211.5849
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to STD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 216.2995, compared to 219.9771 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 3.6776 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 216.2995
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 219.9771

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 12.8885 STD (High: 219.5064 / Low: 206.6179). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 2.4224 STD (High: 217.1938 / Low: 214.7713).

June Spread (Volatile) ±12.8885
September Spread (Stable) ±2.4224

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 4.1764 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -4.1764

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 227.8194) against the same month in 2015 (average: 219.9241), the exchange rate shifted by +7.8952 (+3.59%).

2016 Avg (December) 227.8194
2015 Avg (December) 219.9241

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 222.1031 219.1131 220.2102
February 219.9197 214.7745 217.1404
March 222.7746 212.8286 217.2371
April 214.8025 211.1145 213.0607
May 218.2030 210.2634 214.8282
June 219.5064 206.6179 215.3203
July 220.0759 217.2093 218.4303
August 218.0127 213.0938 215.6039
September 217.1938 214.7713 215.8980
October 222.3138 213.6336 219.0307
November 227.5792 216.3417 223.0806
December 230.0645 224.6259 227.8194