2016 LRD to RSD Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.3452 RSD

YEARLY LOW

1.1483 RSD

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.2465 RSD

2016 LRD to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the LRD to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 24, valuing the pair at 1.3452. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 20, dropping to 1.1483.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1968 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.3189 to the December average rate of 1.2729, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.49% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 1.3452 was down 0.71% compared to the 2015 peak of 1.3548, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 LRD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 6,726 RSD

2015 Average 6,336 RSD

Yearly Trough Low 5,742 RSD

Transaction Impact: A difference of 984.21 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

1.3310

1.1858

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

LRD to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.2635, compared to 1.2295 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0340 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.2635

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.2295

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was April, with a trading range of 0.0916 RSD (High: 1.2747 / Low: 1.1831). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0159 RSD (High: 1.2099 / Low: 1.1940).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.0916

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0159

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0742 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0742

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 1.3189) against the same month in 2015 (average: 1.1513), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1676 (+14.55%).

2016 Avg (January) 1.3189

2015 Avg (January) 1.1513

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.3452	1.2560	1.3189
February	1.3346	1.2853	1.3085
March	1.3420	1.2762	1.3064
April	1.2747	1.1831	1.2322
May	1.2263	1.1784	1.2018
June	1.2398	1.1977	1.2131
July	1.2441	1.2208	1.2333
August	1.2310	1.1483	1.1979
September	1.2099	1.1940	1.2011
October	1.2533	1.1930	1.2193
November	1.2838	1.2111	1.2526
December	1.2982	1.2567	1.2729