2019 LRD to RSD Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.6600 RSD

YEARLY LOW

0.4969 RSD

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.5710 RSD

2019 LRD to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the LRD to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 3, valuing the pair at 0.6600. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 2, dropping to 0.4969.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1632 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.6515 to the December average rate of 0.5608, the exchange rate registered a net change of -13.92% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 0.6600 was down 16.66% compared to the 2018 peak of 0.7920, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 LRD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,300 RSD

2018 Average 3,498 RSD

Yearly Trough Low 2,484 RSD

Transaction Impact: A difference of 815.82 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

0.6663

0.4886

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

LRD to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.6167, compared to 0.5252 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0915 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.6167

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.5252

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was May, with a trading range of 0.0678 RSD (High: 0.6210 / Low: 0.5532). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0087 RSD (High: 0.5241 / Low: 0.5154).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.0678

August Spread (Stable) ±0.0087

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between October and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0490 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0490

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 0.6515) against the same month in 2018 (average: 0.7666), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1151 (-15.01%).

2019 Avg (January) 0.6515

2018 Avg (January) 0.7666

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.6600	0.6415	0.6515
February	0.6520	0.6424	0.6467
March	0.6514	0.6359	0.6440
April	0.6459	0.6188	0.6331
May	0.6210	0.5532	0.5870
June	0.5532	0.5284	0.5380
July	0.5319	0.5196	0.5249
August	0.5241	0.5154	0.5199
September	0.5180	0.5075	0.5125
October	0.5140	0.4977	0.5034
November	0.5538	0.4969	0.5299
December	0.5656	0.5536	0.5608