2018 LRD to RSD Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.7920 RSD

YEARLY LOW

0.6262 RSD

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.6999 RSD

2018 LRD to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the LRD to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 9, valuing the pair at 0.7920. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 17, dropping to 0.6262.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1659 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.7666 to the December average rate of 0.6596, the exchange rate registered a net change of -13.95% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.7920 was down 39.00% compared to the 2017 peak of 1.2983, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 LRD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,960 RSD

2017 Average 5,261 RSD

Yearly Trough Low 3,131 RSD

Transaction Impact: A difference of 829.30 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.7782

0.6390

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

LRD to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.7415, compared to 0.6584 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0830 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.7415

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.6584

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was June, with a trading range of 0.0590 RSD (High: 0.7327 / Low: 0.6737). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0089 RSD (High: 0.6647 / Low: 0.6558).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.0590

December Spread (Stable) ±0.0089

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0599 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0599

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 0.7666) against the same month in 2017 (average: 1.2434), the exchange rate shifted by -0.4769 (-38.35%).

2018 Avg (January) 0.7666

2017 Avg (January) 1.2434

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.7920	0.7405	0.7666
February	0.7822	0.7347	0.7592
March	0.7367	0.7253	0.7312
April	0.7443	0.7241	0.7345
May	0.7564	0.7306	0.7468
June	0.7327	0.6737	0.7105
July	0.6737	0.6262	0.6506
August	0.6767	0.6549	0.6669
September	0.6640	0.6335	0.6558
October	0.6675	0.6497	0.6581
November	0.6636	0.6539	0.6596
December	0.6647	0.6558	0.6596