2011 LSL to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

13.6491 KES

YEARLY LOW

9.9908 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

12.2854 KES

2011 LSL to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the LSL to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 1, valuing the pair at 13.6491. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 19, dropping to 9.9908.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.6583 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 11.7294 to the December average rate of 10.5645, the exchange rate registered a net change of -9.93% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 13.6491 was up 11.78% compared to the 2010 peak of 12.2108, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 LSL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 68,246 KES

2010 Average 54,209 KES

Yearly Trough Low 49,954 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 18,291.30 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

13.5183

10.2960

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

LSL to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 12.2126, compared to 12.3581 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1455 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 12.2126

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 12.3581

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was November, with a trading range of 1.7321 KES (High: 12.2960 / Low: 10.5640). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.4402 KES (High: 12.6863 / Low: 12.2462).

November Spread (Volatile) ±1.7321

May Spread (Stable) ±0.4402

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 1.3270 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -1.3270

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2011: 13.1287) against the same month in 2010 (average: 11.0201), the exchange rate shifted by +2.1086 (+19.13%).

2011 Avg (August) 13.1287

2010 Avg (August) 11.0201

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	12.2370	11.2954	11.7294
February	11.8146	11.1463	11.3416
March	12.4620	11.9054	12.1800
April	12.6753	12.2188	12.4382
May	12.6863	12.2462	12.4654
June	13.5263	12.6247	13.1212
July	13.5918	12.9712	13.2498
August	13.6491	12.8392	13.1287
September	13.4600	12.4443	12.9695
October	13.3350	12.3615	12.7816
November	12.2960	10.5640	11.4546
December	11.1882	9.9908	10.5645