YEARLY HIGH
8.8287 KES
YEARLY LOW
6.4749 KES
YEARLY AVERAGE
7.7097 KES

2018 LSL to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the LSL to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 23, valuing the pair at 8.8287. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 16, dropping to 6.4749.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.3538 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 8.4424 to the December average rate of 7.1674, the exchange rate registered a net change of -15.10% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 8.8287 was up 5.15% compared to the 2017 peak of 8.3961, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 LSL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 44,143 KES
2017 Average 38,879 KES
Yearly Trough Low 32,374 KES
Transaction Impact: A difference of 11,768.91 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

8.7437
6.6711
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

LSL to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 8.2535, compared to 7.1658 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.0876 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 8.2535
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 7.1658

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 0.7263 KES (High: 7.6135 / Low: 6.8871). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2237 KES (High: 8.6634 / Low: 8.4397).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.7263
March Spread (Stable) ±0.2237

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.4123 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.4123

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2018: 8.5710) against the same month in 2017 (average: 7.8429), the exchange rate shifted by +0.7281 (+9.28%).

2018 Avg (February) 8.5710
2017 Avg (February) 7.8429

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 8.6419 8.2700 8.4424
February 8.8287 8.2900 8.5710
March 8.6634 8.4397 8.5321
April 8.5454 8.0463 8.3197
May 8.1747 7.8793 8.0262
June 8.0236 7.3176 7.6296
July 7.6802 7.3001 7.5073
August 7.6135 6.8871 7.2562
September 7.1624 6.4749 6.8438
October 7.1415 6.7830 6.9578
November 7.4866 7.0424 7.2626
December 7.5079 6.9851 7.1674