2012 LSL to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

11.0942 KES

YEARLY LOW

9.6045 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

10.3090 KES

2012 LSL to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the LSL to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 3, valuing the pair at 11.0942. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 22, dropping to 9.6045.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.4897 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 10.7451 to the December average rate of 9.9683, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.23% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 11.0942 was down 18.72% compared to the 2011 peak of 13.6491, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 LSL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 55,471 KES

2011 Average 61,454 KES

Yearly Trough Low 48,023 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 7,448.66 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

11.0230

9.6153

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

LSL to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 10.5945, compared to 10.0235 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.5710 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 10.5945

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 10.0235

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was May, with a trading range of 0.6752 KES (High: 10.7766 / Low: 10.1014). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2514 KES (High: 9.8560 / Low: 9.6045).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.6752

November Spread (Stable) ±0.2514

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.3868 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3868

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2012: 10.8477) against the same month in 2011 (average: 11.3416), the exchange rate shifted by -0.4938 (-4.35%).

2012 Avg (February) 10.8477

2011 Avg (February) 11.3416

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	10.9550	10.5085	10.7451
February	11.0942	10.6453	10.8477
March	11.0705	10.6812	10.9057
April	10.8703	10.4010	10.6251
May	10.7766	10.1014	10.3361
June	10.2909	9.9405	10.1073
July	10.3750	9.8918	10.2029
August	10.3871	9.9213	10.1690
September	10.4077	10.0159	10.2275
October	10.2256	9.6227	9.8407
November	9.8560	9.6045	9.7326
December	10.1786	9.6906	9.9683