YEARLY HIGH
8.5082 KES
YEARLY LOW
7.6977 KES
YEARLY AVERAGE
8.1112 KES

2014 LSL to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the LSL to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 24, valuing the pair at 8.5082. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 29, dropping to 7.6977.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.8104 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 7.9480 to the December average rate of 7.8684, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.00% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 8.5082 was down 16.27% compared to the 2013 peak of 10.1614, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 LSL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 42,541 KES
2013 Average 44,769 KES
Yearly Trough Low 38,489 KES
Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,052.17 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

8.4524
7.8069
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

LSL to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 8.1173, compared to 8.1050 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0124 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 8.1173
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 8.1050

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was January, with a trading range of 0.5199 KES (High: 8.2176 / Low: 7.6977). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1700 KES (High: 8.3377 / Low: 8.1678).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.5199
August Spread (Stable) ±0.1700

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.2429 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2429

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2014: 8.3986) against the same month in 2013 (average: 9.0280), the exchange rate shifted by -0.6294 (-6.97%).

2014 Avg (May) 8.3986
2013 Avg (May) 9.0280

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 8.2176 7.6977 7.9480
February 8.0570 7.7058 7.8607
March 8.1868 7.9416 8.0566
April 8.3020 8.1271 8.2238
May 8.5082 8.2578 8.3986
June 8.3224 8.1260 8.2163
July 8.3639 8.1512 8.2367
August 8.3377 8.1678 8.2672
September 8.3054 7.9235 8.0954
October 8.1909 7.8807 8.0509
November 8.2326 7.9677 8.1114
December 8.1890 7.7439 7.8684