2011 LSL to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

402.8348 UGX

YEARLY LOW

281.4610 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

349.6097 UGX

2011 LSL to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the LSL to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 2, valuing the pair at 402.8348. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 19, dropping to 281.4610.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 121.3738 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 337.4793 to the December average rate of 299.6015, the exchange rate registered a net change of -11.22% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 402.8348 was up 14.38% compared to the 2010 peak of 352.1751, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 LSL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,014,174 UGX

2010 Average 1,492,718 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 1,407,305 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 606,869.23 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

398.3338

290.6258

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

LSL to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 345.6115, compared to 353.6080 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 7.9965 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 345.6115

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 353.6080

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was September, with a trading range of 39.7576 UGX (High: 402.8348 / Low: 363.0773). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 14.1748 UGX (High: 353.5115 / Low: 339.3368).

September Spread (Volatile) ±39.7576

March Spread (Stable) ±14.1748

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 37.5043 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -37.5043

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2011: 379.5350) against the same month in 2010 (average: 315.4077), the exchange rate shifted by +64.1273 (+20.33%).

2011 Avg (September) 379.5350

2010 Avg (September) 315.4077

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	352.1751	318.4395	337.4793
February	338.3332	319.7087	326.5986
March	353.5115	339.3368	346.5105
April	358.4881	344.2976	352.0088
May	362.5077	341.3662	349.3234
June	390.6721	351.2984	361.7482
July	389.4037	371.2740	381.5530
August	397.4338	380.6981	389.3582
September	402.8348	363.0773	379.5350
October	368.3608	329.5598	354.5523
November	332.7096	298.6943	317.0480
December	315.3721	281.4610	299.6015