2016 LSL to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

267.6691 UGX

YEARLY LOW

205.2242 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

233.2441 UGX

2016 LSL to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the LSL to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 7, valuing the pair at 267.6691. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 11, dropping to 205.2242.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 62.4449 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 211.7360 to the December average rate of 259.6565, the exchange rate registered a net change of 22.63% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 267.6691 was down 5.06% compared to the 2015 peak of 281.9449, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 LSL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,338,346 UGX

2015 Average 1,269,033 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 1,026,121 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 312,224.53 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

264.4485

206.9439

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

LSL to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 219.7130, compared to 246.7752 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 27.0622 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 219.7130

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 246.7752

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was August, with a trading range of 20.7369 UGX (High: 252.9011 / Low: 232.1642). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 12.8636 UGX (High: 242.7662 / Low: 229.9026).

August Spread (Volatile) ±20.7369

July Spread (Stable) ±12.8636

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 10.1293 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -10.1293

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 259.6565) against the same month in 2015 (average: 223.2406), the exchange rate shifted by +36.4159 (+16.31%).

2016 Avg (December) 259.6565

2015 Avg (December) 223.2406

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	219.0819	205.2242	211.7360
February	225.1691	208.3183	217.0422
March	227.3188	212.5553	218.8347
April	233.4489	220.4423	228.7814
May	233.8573	213.1403	218.6521
June	233.4670	214.9537	223.2315
July	242.7662	229.9026	234.8783
August	252.9011	232.1642	245.0804
September	250.3697	232.1572	240.2046
October	255.2005	239.6034	246.0887
November	263.0730	246.1005	254.7429
December	267.6691	253.0443	259.6565