2018 LSL to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

317.1453 UGX

YEARLY LOW

244.0602 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

283.3477 UGX

2018 LSL to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the LSL to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 23, valuing the pair at 317.1453. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 16, dropping to 244.0602.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 73.0851 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 298.7085 to the December average rate of 260.4843, the exchange rate registered a net change of -12.80% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 317.1453 was up 7.26% compared to the 2017 peak of 295.6661, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 LSL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,585,727 UGX

2017 Average 1,359,669 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 1,220,301 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 365,425.48 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

313.3498

253.0422

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

LSL to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 301.2217, compared to 265.4737 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 35.7480 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 301.2217

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 265.4737

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was September, with a trading range of 27.0966 UGX (High: 271.1568 / Low: 244.0602). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 7.8215 UGX (High: 284.0184 / Low: 276.1969).

September Spread (Volatile) ±27.0966

July Spread (Stable) ±7.8215

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 11.3027 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -11.3027

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2018: 307.6031) against the same month in 2017 (average: 271.5610), the exchange rate shifted by +36.0422 (+13.27%).

2018 Avg (February) 307.6031

2017 Avg (February) 271.5610

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	307.0663	292.5996	298.7085
February	317.1453	299.0155	307.6031
March	314.4085	303.5581	308.3242
April	312.0622	298.0378	305.6652
May	302.3981	292.4486	297.2369
June	300.9642	280.7093	289.7923
July	284.0184	276.1969	280.1140
August	280.0443	257.4873	268.8114
September	271.1568	244.0602	258.0678
October	270.2970	254.4712	260.0822
November	272.3172	258.4474	265.2822
December	272.7808	254.1455	260.4843