YEARLY HIGH
0.5849 BAM
YEARLY LOW
0.5644 BAM
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.5728 BAM

2016 LTL to BAM Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the LTL to BAM exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 17, valuing the pair at 0.5849. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 30, dropping to 0.5644.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0204 BAM. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.5786 to the December average rate of 0.5667, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.07% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.5849 was down 7.96% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.6354, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 LTL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,924 BAM
2015 Average 2,917 BAM
Yearly Trough Low 2,822 BAM
Transaction Impact: A difference of 102.15 BAM purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.5798
0.5655
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

LTL to BAM Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.5733, compared to 0.5724 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0009 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.5733
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.5724

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.0188 BAM (High: 0.5849 / Low: 0.5660). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0049 BAM (High: 0.5752 / Low: 0.5704).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0188
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0049

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0058 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0058

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2016: 0.5724) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.5820), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0096 (-1.65%).

2016 Avg (November) 0.5724
2015 Avg (November) 0.5820

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.5848 0.5763 0.5786
February 0.5798 0.5672 0.5741
March 0.5782 0.5667 0.5732
April 0.5738 0.5672 0.5704
May 0.5773 0.5650 0.5717
June 0.5801 0.5646 0.5718
July 0.5752 0.5704 0.5731
August 0.5763 0.5675 0.5719
September 0.5764 0.5686 0.5740
October 0.5803 0.5735 0.5761
November 0.5849 0.5660 0.5724
December 0.5695 0.5644 0.5667