2015 MDL to ETB Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.2973 ETB

YEARLY LOW

1.0352 ETB

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.1049 ETB

2015 MDL to ETB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the MDL to ETB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 3, valuing the pair at 1.2973. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 27, dropping to 1.0352.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2620 ETB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.2188 to the December average rate of 1.0707, the exchange rate registered a net change of -12.15% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 1.2973 was down 12.10% compared to the 2014 peak of 1.4758, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 6,486 ETB

2014 Average 7,029 ETB

Yearly Trough Low 5,176 ETB

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,310.24 ETB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

1.2352

1.0382

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to ETB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.1377, compared to 1.0722 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0655 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.1377

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.0722

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was January, with a trading range of 0.1700 ETB (High: 1.2973 / Low: 1.1273). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0166 ETB (High: 1.0640 / Low: 1.0474).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.1700

November Spread (Stable) ±0.0166

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.1244 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1244

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2015: 1.2188) against the same month in 2014 (average: 1.4544), the exchange rate shifted by -0.2356 (-16.20%).

2015 Avg (January) 1.2188

2014 Avg (January) 1.4544

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.2973	1.1273	1.2188
February	1.1269	1.0710	1.0943
March	1.1358	1.0931	1.1102
April	1.1726	1.1068	1.1374
May	1.1642	1.1312	1.1482
June	1.1432	1.0806	1.1174
July	1.1107	1.0849	1.0952
August	1.1116	1.0853	1.0966
September	1.0837	1.0352	1.0614
October	1.0686	1.0414	1.0546
November	1.0640	1.0474	1.0546
December	1.0811	1.0553	1.0707