YEARLY HIGH
1.8631 ETB
YEARLY LOW
1.5764 ETB
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.6675 ETB

2019 MDL to ETB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the MDL to ETB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 30, valuing the pair at 1.8631. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 2, dropping to 1.5764.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2867 ETB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.6564 to the December average rate of 1.8241, the exchange rate registered a net change of 10.13% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 1.8631 was up 10.68% compared to the 2018 peak of 1.6832, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 9,315 ETB
2018 Average 8,234 ETB
Yearly Trough Low 7,882 ETB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,433.48 ETB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

1.8468
1.5747
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to ETB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.6373, compared to 1.6977 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0604 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.6373
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.6977

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was December, with a trading range of 0.1124 ETB (High: 1.8631 / Low: 1.7507). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0201 ETB (High: 1.6781 / Low: 1.6580).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.1124
February Spread (Stable) ±0.0201

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0305 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0305

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2019: 1.8241) against the same month in 2018 (average: 1.6419), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1822 (+11.10%).

2019 Avg (December) 1.8241
2018 Avg (December) 1.6419

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.6718 1.6306 1.6564
February 1.6781 1.6580 1.6662
March 1.6838 1.6422 1.6621
April 1.6609 1.6040 1.6316
May 1.6265 1.5851 1.6104
June 1.6128 1.5764 1.5974
July 1.6599 1.6034 1.6364
August 1.6849 1.6245 1.6549
September 1.6785 1.6335 1.6601
October 1.7233 1.6530 1.6927
November 1.7524 1.6803 1.7183
December 1.8631 1.7507 1.8241