2016 MDL to ETB Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.1326 ETB

YEARLY LOW

1.0272 ETB

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.0982 ETB

2016 MDL to ETB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the MDL to ETB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 28, valuing the pair at 1.1326. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 13, dropping to 1.0272.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1054 ETB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.0454 to the December average rate of 1.1131, the exchange rate registered a net change of 6.47% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 1.1326 was down 12.69% compared to the 2015 peak of 1.2973, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,663 ETB

2015 Average 5,526 ETB

Yearly Trough Low 5,136 ETB

Transaction Impact: A difference of 526.91 ETB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

1.1275

1.0379

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to ETB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.0809, compared to 1.1156 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0347 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.0809

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.1156

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 0.0478 ETB (High: 1.0750 / Low: 1.0272). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0068 ETB (High: 1.1225 / Low: 1.1157).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0478

August Spread (Stable) ±0.0068

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0048 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0048

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 1.1131) against the same month in 2015 (average: 1.0707), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0424 (+3.96%).

2016 Avg (December) 1.1131

2015 Avg (December) 1.0707

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.0750	1.0272	1.0454
February	1.0709	1.0484	1.0620
March	1.1004	1.0678	1.0822
April	1.1046	1.0945	1.0976
May	1.1017	1.0876	1.0952
June	1.1133	1.0932	1.1031
July	1.1211	1.1045	1.1104
August	1.1225	1.1157	1.1191
September	1.1242	1.1150	1.1200
October	1.1286	1.1066	1.1179
November	1.1267	1.1031	1.1130
December	1.1326	1.1022	1.1131