YEARLY HIGH
9.3253 ETB
YEARLY LOW
8.7989 ETB
YEARLY AVERAGE
9.1426 ETB

2026 MDL to ETB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the MDL to ETB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 29, valuing the pair at 9.3253. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 26, dropping to 8.7989.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5264 ETB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 9.2196 to the December average rate of 9.1624, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.62% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 9.3253 was down 0.16% compared to the 2025 peak of 9.3403, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 46,626 ETB
2025 Average 40,271 ETB
Yearly Trough Low 43,995 ETB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,631.82 ETB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

9.2598
8.9598
JanuMarcMayJuly

MDL to ETB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 9.1373, compared to 9.1584 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0211 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 9.1373
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 9.1584

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was April, with a trading range of 0.3374 ETB (High: 9.2055 / Low: 8.8681). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0000 ETB (High: 9.1624 / Low: 9.1624).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.3374
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0000

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.1737 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1737

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2026: 9.2196) against the same month in 2025 (average: 6.8491), the exchange rate shifted by +2.3706 (+34.61%).

2026 Avg (January) 9.2196
2025 Avg (January) 6.8491

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 9.3253 9.0791 9.2196
February 9.2855 9.0482 9.1585
March 9.1305 8.7989 8.9848
April 9.2055 8.8681 9.0634
May 9.2945 9.1532 9.2348
June 9.3161 9.0027 9.1627
July 9.2114 9.0634 9.1544
August 9.1624 9.1624 9.1624