YEARLY HIGH
808.5266 IDR
YEARLY LOW
672.6491 IDR
YEARLY AVERAGE
714.4484 IDR

2015 MDL to IDR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the MDL to IDR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 8, valuing the pair at 808.5266. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 10, dropping to 672.6491.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 135.8775 IDR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 756.7448 to the December average rate of 701.6211, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.28% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 808.5266 was down 14.03% compared to the 2014 peak of 940.5198, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,042,633 IDR
2014 Average 4,238,744 IDR
Yearly Trough Low 3,363,245 IDR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 679,387.50 IDR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

763.8933
678.1119
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to IDR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 721.5653, compared to 707.3315 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 14.2339 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 721.5653
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 707.3315

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was January, with a trading range of 108.4526 IDR (High: 808.5266 / Low: 700.0740). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 13.6940 IDR (High: 692.5074 / Low: 678.8133).

January Spread (Volatile) ±108.4526
November Spread (Stable) ±13.6940

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 68.8892 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -68.8892

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2015: 756.7448) against the same month in 2014 (average: 919.3714), the exchange rate shifted by -162.6266 (-17.69%).

2015 Avg (January) 756.7448
2014 Avg (January) 919.3714

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 808.5266 700.0740 756.7448
February 705.1966 672.6491 687.8556
March 728.1607 696.2612 711.9654
April 744.9097 699.0699 719.7568
May 744.8659 716.3531 732.7342
June 737.5439 697.6786 720.3353
July 719.8960 697.7971 706.2537
August 738.9163 709.0413 725.6679
September 741.3036 725.2335 731.0109
October 731.7151 677.4468 694.1750
November 692.5074 678.8133 685.2603
December 715.3637 692.8209 701.6211