YEARLY HIGH
841.4668 IDR
YEARLY LOW
777.1226 IDR
YEARLY AVERAGE
806.9436 IDR

2019 MDL to IDR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the MDL to IDR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 1, valuing the pair at 841.4668. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 20, dropping to 777.1226.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 64.3441 IDR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 826.5440 to the December average rate of 810.3965, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.95% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 841.4668 was down 6.97% compared to the 2018 peak of 904.4968, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,207,334 IDR
2018 Average 4,215,671 IDR
Yearly Trough Low 3,885,613 IDR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 321,720.72 IDR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

832.2448
780.8130
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to IDR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 810.3638, compared to 803.5235 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 6.8403 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 810.3638
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 803.5235

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was April, with a trading range of 36.0364 IDR (High: 821.4139 / Low: 785.3775). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 9.5096 IDR (High: 814.9068 / Low: 805.3972).

April Spread (Volatile) ±36.0364
December Spread (Stable) ±9.5096

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 26.9890 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -26.9890

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 826.5440) against the same month in 2018 (average: 791.3174), the exchange rate shifted by +35.2266 (+4.45%).

2019 Avg (January) 826.5440
2018 Avg (January) 791.3174

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 841.4668 814.8293 826.5440
February 829.6552 812.5840 820.9752
March 839.6590 818.8530 827.9588
April 821.4139 785.3775 800.9699
May 811.9029 785.5316 800.6360
June 794.2012 777.1226 785.0990
July 802.1648 783.4103 792.6947
August 827.4335 792.0680 806.7709
September 805.4727 783.9675 796.1650
October 816.9111 797.1747 807.9247
November 812.2762 801.9501 807.1889
December 814.9068 805.3972 810.3965